A Look at the NCAA Top 25 Projections
This year’s 2019 Preseason Top 25 has been out now for a little over two weeks. Let’s just say I am appalled. Here it is, I will give my thoughts after.
- Michigan State
- Kentucky
- Kansas
- Duke
- Louisville
- Florida
- Maryland
- Gonzaga
- North Carolina
- Villanova
- Virginia
- Seton Hall
- Texas Tech
- Memphis
- Oregon
- Baylor
- Utah State
- Ohio State
- Xavier
- Saint Mary’s
- Arizona
- LSU
- Purdue
- Auburn
- VCU
In looking at this list, I see a couple of surprises. Shoutout to VCU on making the Top 25, sitting at number 25. This team has a bevy of seniors who have now been in Coach Mike Rhodes’ system for some time. De’Riante Jenkins, Issac Vann, Mike’L Simms, and star point guard Marcus Evans form a strong quartet of seniors for the Rams. I look for them to keep a steady place in the rankings for much of the season and ultimately win the A-10. My biggest surprise from this list has to be Memphis sitting at 14. Many people/analysts are either hot or cold on Penny’s Tigers, but I believe they are a Top 10 team and will demonstrate that throughout the season. They will have an early test at #15 Oregon at the start of November, but I believe they will win that one off of pure talent. Not many coaches can say they landed a top 5 recruiting class in year 2. Year 2! I mean some coaches go 5-10 years and never get one…No offense to any coaches who fall in that space, but hey if the shoe fits. Anyhow, potential top 5 pick, James Wiseman, is the crown jewel of this class, but I predict Boogie Ellis, a former Duke commit to be one to watch for this upcoming year.
My next surprise will get a lot of backlash from people who enjoy slow and boring, but championship basketball. I hate to say it, but I am not buying UVA as a top 15 team. I just have a hard time seeing them replace three NBA guys in a year’s time without making any major splashes recruiting wise. I think slotting them at 11 is generous. I understand they did just win the title, and Tony Bennett is an amazing coach, however who is their guy this year? Do you play through title run surprise, Mamadi Diakite? Braxton Key? UVA is known for their stifling defensive teams, but we cannot overlook the impact guys like Deandre Hunter, Kyle Guy, and Ty Jerome had for them offensively. If UVA wants to be successful this year and defend their title, somebody has to emerge. They start the season with Syracuse, who is always a tough draw so we will find out what this team is made of early.
How about a bit of an overreaction? Duke beating Northwest Missouri State by 6 points in their first exhibition. I know Coach K will have his guys ready by the start of the season, but geez that does not look good for the #4 team in the country. Especially considering their first meeting of the season is with Kansas. Most Duke teams do not truly hit their stride until midway through the season, but if any Duke team is to have a down year, it may be this one. I like the recruits, I love the coach, but Zion and RJ are gone. Matthew Hurt, Cassius Stanley, and Vernon Carey are in. I know some guys who are high on them but am I? We will see. Now to my projections for conference champions in the Power 6 as well as Conference POY’s.
ACC: UNC POY: Cole Anthony
Cole Anthony and Garrison Brooks form one of the better duos in the ACC and in the country. UNC will struggle shooting the three, but I believe Cole Anthony will be one of the best players in the league and the country as a whole. This UNC team is also a lot deeper than some think. Leaky Black and grad transfer Justin Pierce bring some nice scoring off the bench for Roy’s squad. They’ll split with Duke this year when they meet but other than that I do not see them losing too much more in conference. As for POY, of course I went with Cole Anthony. I seem like a bit of a homer at this point but the guy is special. His scoring ability matched with his IQ will make him a tough matchup for opposing guards all season. The ACC officially tabbed Louisville forward, Jordan Nwora as their preseason player of the year so we will see how this plays out.
BIG 12: Kansas POY: Tristan Clark
Kansas, Kansas, Kansas. Everyone knows who this conference runs through and this year will be no different. Under the watchful eye of the NCAA(who likes those guys?) Bill Self and his crew will look to dodge sanctions and losing the Big 12 title for the second year in a row. Which sounds crazy because they’ve won it like 10 thousand times already. Either way, Devon Dotson and Udoka Azubuike are a lot to deal with. If healthy, they rival that one-two punch I mentioned earlier out of the ACC. Azubuike gets hurt three times a year, but hey maybe this year will be different? And if not, BIG DAVE TO THE RESCUE!!! Dotson has potential to win the POY in the conference, lets hope Self’s team keeps it head this year and doesn’t implode. Onto POY, if you do not know this guy, get to know him! Tristan Clark is a walking double double. His season was cut short last year but he shot almost 74% from the field, had double figures in nearly all 14 games he played, and he blocks shots like it is nothing. He is what a mentor of mine likes to call… A DUDE. Player of the Year, easily.
Big East: Villanova? POY: Markus Howard
Not going to lie, the Big East is always hard for me to predict. It seems like Villanova wins it every year, but somehow they actually don’t. Yet they are who we talk about. Last year was a disappointment to say the least, but this is Jay Wright we are talking about, right? I am not certain on this pick, but it is my blog so I’m going out on a limb and trusting these guys once more. Seton Hall is a trendy pick. They have their whole team back almost and Myles Powell is tough. But, Jay Wright and his guys should figure it out this year I believe. They will lose a game or two that they shouldn’t. Georgetown may scare some folks this year, and the Big East will be the Big East, but Nova comes out on top. They have to. POY is an easy one! Markus Howard is a WALKING BUCKET. Don’t tell Ja Morant that, but Howard doesn’t have to see him this year so Markus Howard shoots his way to Player of the Year while also contending for National POY if his guys can win some big games.
Big Ten: Michigan State POY: Cassius Winston
Disclaimer: I hate Michigan State. But I’m not stupid so I will pull myself together to say some nice things about them. Cassius Winston is different. He torched my Wolverines 3 times. 3! It plays over and over in my head whenever I think of my Wolverines’ season. Maryland has Jalen Smith and are being picked to contend with Michigan State for the conference title. At the end of the day, I think the Big Ten as always will feature some slugfests and ultimately be a fight to the finish. Ohio State should be much better this year, Illinois, Purdue, and don’t count out my Wolverines. It will be tough, but only the strong survive and with Tom Izzo and Cassius Winston I firmly believe Michigan State comes out on top. As you can see, Cassius Winston wins POY. Almost unanimously in my book. ESPN says it, I say it, you should say it. Nobody in the Big Ten matches this guy in talent except maybe Joshua Langford and well they play on the same team and Langford is hurt…again. Look for Jalen Smith and Lamar Stevens to be spectacular this season, but Winston wins it again this season.
Pac 12: Arizona POY: Tres Tinkle
Let’s keep it real here, the PAC 12 hasn’t been much in the last few years. Oregon made a run last season as a 12 seed. But, other than that they’ve been dormant. You haven’t heard of Arizona in a while have you? No. Me neither, and it just doesn’t seem right. So let’s go out on a limb here and say they come back and win the PAC 12 this season. I like Nico Mannion, I like Chase Jeter on this team, I like the fact that the PAC 12 sucks in my opinion so I like Arizona. Remember Max Hazzard? Played for UC Irvine when they made the tournament. Well he plays for Arizona and he can fill it up. I look for him to play a big role whether it is starting or off the bench. Oregon and Colorado will keep it competitive atop the league, but I have Arizona pulling it out. Here is someone nobody knows about! Tres Tinkle. 5 star name, so he wins POY for me. I had to do my research on the guys left in the conference, but when I came across Tinkle from Oregon State I noticed the guy always averages near 20 a game, since his freshman year and close to 10 rebounds. He’s my pick! Think Joe Ingles in the college game and you’ve got Tres. Smooth, lefty who fills it up. I may have to stay up and watch him play once or twice, the guy can go! Check him out.
SEC: Kentucky POY: Anthony Edwards
I love Ashton Hagans! He is one of my favorite players to watch in CBB. I love Calipari, I love this year’s Kentucky team. Let’s look at the roster for a second. Ashton Hagans, Tyrese Maxey, Nick Richards, EJ Montgomery, Immanuel Quickley, and Nate Sestina(insider knowledge: If you don’t know him…you’ll get to know him) and that is just some of the pieces this team has. Calipari likes to run, he likes to play guys. We’ve seen him go five in and five out before. I don’t see Hagans coming off the floor ever. Heck, I do not want the guy off the floor, he is that good. He is a DUDE! I hear you Florida, but I don’t see you. LSU is always tough, Tennessee are you rebuilding or what? Kentucky all the way. I want to see Jerry Stackhouse do something at Vandy, but it’ll be a few years. Either way, rooting for him because why not? Great guy. Now, my player of the year. I love the young guys, Anthony Edwards. Plays hard, scores the ball, big chip on his shoulder. I think he is one of those once in a blue moon talents. Georgia has a chance as long as this guy gets going and stays going. Edwards is a top 5 talent. Book it!
That is all for my first post! I hope you all enjoy it, I enjoyed writing it for sure. Share the link if you like it, leave a comment, etc, etc. I plan to post on Wednesday nights and Sunday nights to start. May dial it back depending on the amount of content available, but with the NFL season, CFB season, NBA season, and CBB season kicking off we good! Have a great day folks, one love! – Quis